The Miami Heat are 5.5-point underdogs for Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Cleveland Cavaliers at Kaseya Center on Saturday, beginning at 1 p.m. ET on TNT, FDSSUN, and FDSOH. The Cavaliers are up 2-0 in the series.
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Cavaliers vs. Heat Predictions for Saturday
Our computer model for this game calls for a final result of Cavaliers 118, Heat 110.
- Moneyline Pick: Cavaliers (-220)
- Total Pick: Over 213 (computer predicts 227.4 points)
- Pick ATS: Cavaliers (-5.5)
Recent Cavaliers vs. Heat Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/23/2025 | Cavaliers | -12.5 | 213 | -676 | +484 | 121-112 CLE |
| 4/20/2025 | Cavaliers | -12.5 | 215 | -787 | +543 | 121-100 CLE |
| 3/5/2025 | Cavaliers | -13.5 | 220 | -893 | +592 | 112-107 CLE |
| 1/29/2025 | Cavaliers | -6 | 223.5 | -233 | +192 | 126-106 CLE |
| 12/8/2024 | Cavaliers | -2.5 | 223.5 | -139 | +117 | 122-113 MIA |
| 3/24/2024 | Heat | -3.5 | 202.5 | -165 | +138 | 121-84 MIA |
| 3/20/2024 | Cavaliers | -2.5 | 206.5 | -135 | +114 | 107-104 MIA |
| 12/8/2023 | Cavaliers | -1.5 | 223.5 | -122 | +103 | 111-99 CLE |
| 11/22/2023 | Cavaliers | -1.5 | 213 | -120 | -101 | 129-96 MIA |
Cavaliers 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Cleveland's ATS record is 48-33-1 this season.
- The Cavaliers have a 32-25-1 record against the spread when favored by 5.5 points or more this season.
- Cleveland has gone over in 50 of its 82 games with a set total (61%).
- The Cavaliers have won 60, or 81.1%, of the 74 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Cleveland has a record of 49-9, a 84.5% win rate, when it's favored by -220 or more by oddsmakers this season.
Heat 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Miami has a 38-41-3 record against the spread this year.
- In games they have played as at least 5.5-point underdogs this year, the Heat are 8-8-1 against the spread.
- The teams have combined to hit the over in 44 of Miami's 82 games with a set total.
- The Heat have won 10 of the 36 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (27.8%).
- When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +182 or longer, Miami has a record of 4-11 (26.7%).
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Cavaliers vs. Heat Injury Report
Cavaliers
Cavaliers: None
Heat
Heat:
Dru Smith: Out For Season (Achilles),
Terry Rozier: Day-To-Day (Ankle),
Kevin Love: Day-To-Day (Personal)
Cavaliers vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Saturday, April 26, 2025
- Game time: 1 p.m. ET
- TV channel: TNT, FDSSUN, and FDSOH
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: Kaseya Center
- Live stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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