The Cleveland Cavaliers are 4.5-point favorites for Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on TNT, truTV, and MAX. The Pacers lead the series 2-1.
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Cavaliers vs. Pacers Predictions for Sunday
Our computer model for this matchup predicts a final score of Cavaliers 119, Pacers 114.
- Moneyline Pick: Cavaliers (-203)
- Total Pick: Over 231 (computer predicts 233.0 points)
- Pick ATS: Cavaliers (-4.5)
Recent Cavaliers vs. Pacers Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/9/2025 | Cavaliers | -5 | 232 | -220 | +182 | 126-104 CLE |
| 5/6/2025 | Cavaliers | -7.5 | 229 | -323 | +258 | 120-119 IND |
| 5/4/2025 | Cavaliers | -8 | 229.5 | -368 | +292 | 121-112 IND |
| 4/13/2025 | Pacers | -7 | 226.5 | -274 | +221 | 126-118 IND |
| 4/10/2025 | Pacers | -9.5 | 234.5 | -435 | +334 | 114-112 IND |
| 1/14/2025 | Cavaliers | -8.5 | 231.5 | -353 | +278 | 127-117 CLE |
| 1/12/2025 | Cavaliers | -9 | 239 | -397 | +312 | 108-93 IND |
| 4/12/2024 | Cavaliers | -3 | 231.5 | -145 | +122 | 129-120 CLE |
| 3/18/2024 | Pacers | -6.5 | 225 | -261 | +212 | 108-103 CLE |
| 11/3/2023 | Cavaliers | -2 | 230.5 | -138 | +117 | 121-116 IND |
| 10/28/2023 | Pacers | -4 | 220 | -170 | +145 | 125-113 IND |
Cavaliers 2024-25 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Cleveland has compiled a 48-33-1 record against the spread.
- When they have played as at least 4.5-point favorites this season, the Cavaliers are 35-26-1 against the spread.
- Cleveland has gone over in 50 of its 82 games with a set total (61%).
- This season, the Cavaliers have been favored 74 times and won 60, or 81.1%, of those games.
- Cleveland has a record of 49-9, a 84.5% win rate, when it's favored by -203 or more by sportsbooks this season.
Pacers 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Indiana's ATS record is 38-43-1 this year.
- The Pacers have an 11-9 record against the spread when an underdog by 4.5 points or more this season.
- In Indiana's 82 games with a set total, 44 have hit the over (53.7%).
- The Pacers have gone 16-17 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 48.5% of those games).
- Indiana has gone 8-8 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +169 or longer (50%).
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Cavaliers vs. Pacers Injury Report
Cavaliers
Cavaliers: None
Pacers
Pacers:
Isaiah Jackson: Out For Season (Calf)
Cavaliers vs. Pacers Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Sunday, May 11, 2025
- Game time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV channel: TNT, truTV, and MAX
- Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
- Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
- Live stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
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