The Tampa Bay Lightning (16-8-2) will aim to continue a four-game home win streak when they play the Pittsburgh Penguins (13-7-5) on Thursday, Dec. 4 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Before watching this matchup, here is our prediction for which squad will bring home the win in Thursday's hockey action.

The Penguins have put up 25 goals over their last 10 outings, while giving up 27 goals. A total of 21 power-play opportunities during that time have resulted in six power-play goals (28.6%). They are 4-3-3 over those contests.

Lightning vs. Penguins Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projections model for this matchup calls for a final score of Lightning 4, Penguins 2.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-209)
Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
Spread Pick: Penguins (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning have a 16-8-2 record overall, with a 3-2-5 record in matchups that have required overtime.
In the 13 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 6-5-2 record (good for 14 points).
In the two games this season the Lightning registered only one goal, they finished 0-1-1.
Tampa Bay has scored a pair of goals in eight games this season (3-4-1 record, seven points).
The Lightning have scored more than two goals in 16 games (13-3-0, 26 points).
In the eight games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it picked up 13 points after finishing 6-1-1.
When it has outshot opponents, Tampa Bay is 5-4-1 (11 points).
The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 16 games. The Lightning went 11-4-1 in those matchups (23 points).

Penguins Splits and Trends

The Penguins have posted a record of 1-5-6 in overtime matchups as part of an overall mark of 13-7-5.
Pittsburgh has earned six points (2-3-2) in its seven games that finished with a one-goal margin.
This season the Penguins registered only one goal in three games and they've earned two points (0-1-2) in those contests.
Pittsburgh has two points (0-3-2) in five games this season when it has scored a pair of goals.
The Penguins have earned 27 points in their 16 games with three or more goals scored.
Pittsburgh has scored a lone power-play goal in eight games this season and has registered six points from those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Pittsburgh is 4-4-2 (10 points).
The Penguins have been outshot by opponents 14 times this season, and earned 19 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison